
Photo: Hylgeriak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · via Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale
Topic 10 of 18 · Country Index 2026
Tajikistan: Peace & Security
Is a country at peace, and how heavily armed is it?
Tajikistan is placed 115th of 177 countries on peace & security in the Country Index 2026, from 4 of its 4 key statistics. Readings behind it: Political Stability and Absence of Violence -0.295 (2025); Physical Violence Index 0.122 (2025).
Peace & Security
115th
of 177 countries placed
Placed from 4 of 4 key statistics
- -0.295Political Stability and Absence of Violence, 2025Political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5)
- 0.122Physical Violence Index, 2025Freedom from political killings and torture (0–1)
- -0.06Political Violence by Non-State Actors, 2025Original latent estimate (≈ −3.5 to +4); higher = more violence
- 67.62Global Militarisation Index, 2023GMI score (higher means a heavier military weight)
01The evidence
The 4 key statistics that decide it
Only these place Tajikistan on peace & security — one vote each. Every value is the publisher’s own, read at the edition the Country Index 2026 used; the grey ticks are every other country it was compared with, lowest on the left.
Key 1 of 4
Political Stability and Absence of Violence
World Bank Group
Why it is a key: Whether a country is at risk of violent upheaval — politically motivated violence, terrorism and the threat of destabilisation. It is the closest measure this site has to whether a state is at peace with itself.
2025 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY 4.0
-0.295
Political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5)
Higher is better
Tajikistan: -0.295. Across the 211 countries in this edition, values run from -2.506 (Yemen) to 1.563 (Andorra); the world median is 0.171.
- World median
- 0.171
- Best in Central Asia
- 0.236 Turkmenistan
- Land neighbours
- Afghanistan -2.043 · China 0.022 · Kyrgyzstan -0.016 · Uzbekistan 0.102
Each grey tick is one of 211 countries in the 2025 edition.
Key 2 of 4
Physical Violence Index
V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg
Why it is a key: Whether the state kills or tortures the people it governs.
2025 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY-SA 4.0
0.122
Freedom from political killings and torture (0–1)
Higher is better
Tajikistan: 0.122. Across the 176 countries in this edition, values run from 0.053 (North Korea) to 0.989 (Sweden); the world median is 0.79.
- World median
- 0.79
- Best in Central Asia
- 0.532 Kazakhstan
- Land neighbours
- Afghanistan 0.065 · China 0.345 · Kyrgyzstan 0.306 · Uzbekistan 0.509
Each grey tick is one of 176 countries in the 2025 edition.
Key 3 of 4
Political Violence by Non-State Actors
V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg
Why it is a key: Violence used for political ends by groups outside the state — militias, armed party wings and insurgents — the other side of the state violence that Physical Violence measures.
2025 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY-SA 4.0
-0.06
Original latent estimate (≈ −3.5 to +4); higher = more violence
Lower is better
Tajikistan: -0.06. Across the 171 countries in this edition, values run from -3.182 (Luxembourg) to 3.375 (Myanmar); the world median is -0.661.
- World median
- -0.661
- Best in Central Asia
- -2.671 Turkmenistan
- Land neighbours
- Afghanistan 1.86 · China -0.506 · Kyrgyzstan -1.89 · Uzbekistan -2.302
Each grey tick is one of 171 countries in the 2025 edition.
Key 4 of 4
Global Militarisation Index
Bonn International Centre for Conflict Studies (BICC)
Why it is a key: How much of a country's resources sit with its military rather than its hospitals and schools, comparing spending, personnel and heavy weapons against health provision. Correlates 0.02 with political stability: a heavily armed country and an unstable one are genuinely different things, which is why the topic needs both.
2023 edition · data for 2023 · CC BY
67.62
GMI score (higher means a heavier military weight)
Lower is better
Ranked 117th of 149 by BICC
Tajikistan: 67.62. Across the 149 countries in this edition, values run from 3.512 (Haiti) to 351.09 (Ukraine); the world median is 100.66.
- World median
- 100.66
- Best in Central Asia
- 67.62 Tajikistan
- Land neighbours
- Afghanistan 75.28 · China 81.83 · Kyrgyzstan 149.5
Each grey tick is one of 149 countries in the 2023 edition.
02Over time
Which way Tajikistan is moving
Each key’s published value, edition by edition, beside the world median. The Country Index 2026 is the first edition of the standing, so the standing itself has no history to chart yet.
Political Stability and Absence of Violence
Political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5) · higher is better
TajikistanWorld median
Tajikistan rose from -1.836 in 2000 to -0.295 in 2025; the world median went from -0.021 to 0.171.
Every year’s figures
Year Tajikistan World median 2025 -0.30 0.1706 2024 -0.28 0.1385 2023 -0.31 0.1269 2022 -0.45 0.0991 2021 -0.43 0.0836 2020 -0.35 0.0582 2019 -0.44 0.0678 2018 -0.68 0.1121 2017 -0.66 0.0177 2016 -0.74 -0.0161 2015 -0.75 0.0464 2014 -0.63 0.0366 2013 -1.02 -0.0060 2012 -1.03 0.0470 2011 -0.98 -0.0034 2010 -0.83 0.0100 2009 -0.77 0.1579 2008 -0.70 0.0744 2007 -0.61 0.1154 2006 -1.22 0.0812 2005 -1.20 0.0308 2004 -1.14 -0.0307 2003 -1.11 0.0683 2002 -1.05 -0.0154 2000 -1.84 -0.0212 Physical Violence Index
Freedom from political killings and torture (0–1) · higher is better
TajikistanWorld median
Tajikistan fell from 0.288 in 2000 to 0.122 in 2025; the world median went from 0.728 to 0.79.
Every year’s figures
Year Tajikistan World median 2025 0.122 0.7900 2024 0.126 0.7850 2023 0.129 0.7885 2022 0.087 0.8190 2021 0.170 0.8245 2020 0.170 0.8265 2019 0.200 0.8015 2018 0.152 0.8200 2017 0.140 0.7880 2016 0.104 0.7865 2015 0.166 0.7930 2014 0.229 0.7790 2013 0.229 0.7700 2012 0.236 0.7805 2011 0.269 0.7900 2010 0.265 0.7990 2009 0.340 0.7890 2008 0.335 0.7770 2007 0.324 0.7700 2006 0.328 0.7700 2005 0.328 0.7550 2004 0.328 0.7700 2003 0.292 0.7600 2002 0.292 0.7440 2001 0.292 0.7480 2000 0.288 0.7280 Political Violence by Non-State Actors
Original latent estimate (≈ −3.5 to +4); higher = more violence · lower is better
TajikistanWorld median
Tajikistan fell from 0.85 in 2000 to -0.06 in 2025; the world median went from -0.766 to -0.661.
Every year’s figures
Year Tajikistan World median 2025 -0.060 -0.661 2024 -0.267 -0.626 2023 -0.096 -0.617 2022 0.190 -0.522 2021 -0.521 -0.530 2020 -0.826 -0.620 2019 -0.630 -0.620 2018 -0.477 -0.787 2017 -0.506 -0.651 2016 -0.506 -0.633 2015 -0.485 -0.757 2014 -0.515 -0.748 2013 -0.549 -0.755 2012 -0.360 -0.755 2011 -0.315 -0.737 2010 -0.081 -0.767 2009 -0.219 -0.767 2008 -0.232 -0.798 2007 -0.016 -0.801 2006 -0.016 -0.847 2005 -0.016 -0.743 2004 -0.016 -0.847 2003 0.196 -0.818 2002 0.709 -0.770 2001 0.850 -0.760 2000 0.850 -0.766 Global Militarisation Index
GMI score (higher means a heavier military weight) · lower is better
TajikistanWorld median
Tajikistan rose from 55.21 in 2000 to 67.62 in 2023; the world median went from 120.02 to 100.66.
Every year’s figures
Year Tajikistan World median 2023 67.6164 100.7 2022 83.7473 100.9 2021 63.9630 102.9 2020 59.9301 104.4 2019 58.4046 101.6 2018 59.9305 98.1 2017 60.1349 101.3 2016 64.2331 102.0 2015 66.2216 105.7 2014 63.4902 103.0 2013 61.1944 108.5 2012 62.0343 109.5 2011 64.8757 112.0 2010 62.2052 114.8 2009 62.8324 117.0 2008 64.0217 114.4 2007 67.8354 117.1 2006 70.7221 116.5 2005 70.8891 113.9 2004 71.8300 113.6 2003 67.6201 117.9 2002 65.8678 120.1 2001 52.8294 122.0 2000 55.2069 120.0
03In context
Tajikistan beside its neighbours
A position reads best beside the countries around it. Every position below is a place among all 177 countries on peace & security, never a place within the region.
Tajikistan and the countries it borders
The standing is each country’s place among all 177 placed on the topic; the other columns are the publishers’ own values, read at the edition the standing used.
| Country | Standing | Political Stability and Absence of ViolencePolitical Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5) | Physical Violence IndexFreedom from political killings and torture (0–1) | Political Violence by Non-State ActorsOriginal latent estimate (≈ −3.5 to +4); higher = more violence | Global Militarisation IndexGMI score (higher means a heavier military weight) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| =72nd | 0.102 | 0.509 | -2.302 | — | |
| 102nd | 0.022 | 0.345 | -0.506 | 81.83 | |
| 110th | -0.016 | 0.306 | -1.89 | 149.5 | |
| 115th | -0.295 | 0.122 | -0.06 | 67.62 | |
| =160th | -2.043 | 0.065 | 1.86 | 75.28 |
“—” means the publisher gives no reading for that country in that edition. A country needs readings on enough keys to be placed.
Across Central Asia
Every country in the sub-region, by its place among all 177.
Uzbekistan=72nd
Turkmenistan80th
Kazakhstan97th
Kyrgyzstan110th
Tajikistan115th
Placed either side on peace & security
The countries immediately above and below Tajikistan in the topic’s list.
04Context, no vote
Where Tajikistan is ahead of the world, and behind
6 more statistics filed under peace & security, published in full and deliberately given no vote in the standing. Select a row for the publisher, the rank and the links.
Ahead of the world median1
Statistics on which Tajikistan does better than the middle country measured.
Global Violent DeathsSmall Arms Survey · 2021 · world median 4.021.184.02▲ Improved since 2011
Tajikistan: 1.18 · world median 4.02 · Violent deaths per 100,000 people. Small Arms Survey, 2021 edition, data for 2021.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 112.28; lower is better.
Position 162nd of 206 — derived here by ordering the published values, 1st = worst. The publisher ranks no country on this.
Behind the world median3
Statistics on which Tajikistan does worse than the middle country measured.
Military Dimension IndexV-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg · 2025 · world median 0.10.1250.1▼ Worsened since 2015
Tajikistan: 0.125 · world median 0.1 · Military dimension index (0–1; higher = larger military role). V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 1; lower is better.
State Authority over TerritoryV-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg · 2025 · world median 95.39495.3▲ Improved since 2015
Tajikistan: 94 · world median 95.3 · Territory under effective state control (% of official territory). V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 47.56 to 100; higher is better.
INFORM Risk IndexEuropean Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee · 2025 · world median 3.74.63.7▲ Improved since 2016
Tajikistan: 4.6 · world median 3.7 · INFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk). European Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee, 2026 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0.7 to 8.5; lower is better.
Position 67th of 191 — derived here by ordering the published values, 1st = worst. The publisher ranks no country on this.
Level with the median, or no median to compare1
Deaths in Organized ViolenceUCDP · 2025 · world median 000No real change since 2015
Tajikistan: 0 · world median 0 · Deaths in organized violence (people). Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 90,345; lower is better.
Position 59th of 59 — derived here by ordering the published values, 1st = worst. The publisher ranks no country on this.
No better end1
These describe the shape of a country — more is not better or worse, only different — so they are never ahead or behind.
Refugees by Country of OriginUNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency · 2025 · world median 1,2724,1631,272Moved since 2015
Tajikistan: 4,163 · world median 1,272 · Refugees under UNHCR's mandate from this country, end of year (people). UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 5,224,131.
05Country Index 2026
Peace & Security among Tajikistan’s 15 topics
Peace & Security is Tajikistan’s 8th best-placed topic of 15. Strongest first; each marker sits at the position divided by that topic’s field, so fields of different sizes compare fairly.
- Education & Knowledge30th of 1713/4 keys
- Energy52nd of 1933/3 keys
- Risk & Resilience74th of 1923/3 keys
- Environment & Sustainability72nd of 1813/3 keys
- Development & Human Capital104th of 1963/3 keys
- Food & Agriculture104th of 1754/4 keys
- Health & Wellbeing124th of 2004/4 keys
- Peace & Security115th of 1774/4 keys
- Poverty & Inequalityjoint 104th of 1592/2 keys
- Digital & Technologyjoint 133rd of 1983/3 keys
- Gender & Equality152nd of 1834/4 keys
- Economy & Innovation154th of 1764/4 keys
- Governance & Institutions170th of 1944/4 keys
- Democracy & Civil Liberties185th of 1983/3 keys
- Work & Labour172nd of 1824/4 keys
No standing on Mobility & Trade: too few of those topics’ key statistics are published for this country.
06The top of the list
Who leads on peace & security
The three countries placed highest of 177, and the leaders Tajikistan can most readily be measured against.
1Iceland
Northern Europe
1st of 177 · 3 of 4 keys
Photo: Hansueli Krapf · CC BY-SA 3.0, greyscale
2Costa Rica
Central America
2nd of 177 · 3 of 4 keys
Photo: Henry Zbyszynski from Capitola California, USA · CC BY 2.0, greyscale
3Malta
Southern Europe
3rd of 177 · 4 of 4 keys
Photo: Dirk Heldmaier derivative work: Jjtkk · CC BY-SA 3.0, greyscale
Placed highest nearby
Highest in Asia
Taiwan=7th3/4 keys
Highest in Central Asia
Uzbekistan=72nd3/4 keys
This page
Tajikistan115th4/4 keys
Positions out of 177 placed on the topic. A country needs readings on enough keys to be placed, and the top of the list is often held on fewer of them.
07Analysis
Charts and analysis about Tajikistan and peace & security
08Questions
Tajikistan on peace & security: questions answered
Every answer is built from the numbers on this page, so none can say something the page does not.
How does Tajikistan rank on peace & security?
Tajikistan is placed 115th of 177 countries on Peace & Security in the Country Index 2026, from 4 of its 4 key statistics (Political Stability and Absence of Violence, Physical Violence Index, Political Violence by Non-State Actors and Global Militarisation Index). The position is this site’s ordering of published statistics, not a rank any publisher printed.
What is the latest Political Stability and Absence of Violence figure for Tajikistan?
-0.295 in 2025 (political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5)), according to World Bank Group. The world median in the same edition was 0.171.
What is the latest Physical Violence Index figure for Tajikistan?
0.122 in 2025 (freedom from political killings and torture (0–1)), according to V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg. The world median in the same edition was 0.79.
How does Tajikistan compare with China on peace & security?
China is placed 102nd of 177, and Tajikistan 115th. Political Stability and Absence of Violence: China 0.022, Tajikistan -0.295; Physical Violence Index: China 0.345, Tajikistan 0.122; Political Violence by Non-State Actors: China -0.506, Tajikistan -0.06; Global Militarisation Index: China 81.83, Tajikistan 67.62.
How have Tajikistan’s peace & security figures changed?
Political Stability and Absence of Violence rose from -1.836 in 2000 to -0.295 in 2025; Physical Violence Index fell from 0.288 in 2000 to 0.122 in 2025; Political Violence by Non-State Actors fell from 0.85 in 2000 to -0.06 in 2025; Global Militarisation Index rose from 55.21 in 2000 to 67.62 in 2023.
09Keep reading
Explore further
Tajikistan, topic by topic
- Governance & Institutions170th of 194
- Economy & Innovation154th of 176
- Work & Labour172nd of 182
- Education & Knowledge30th of 171
- Health & Wellbeing124th of 200
- Development & Human Capital104th of 196
- Environment & Sustainability72nd of 181
- Gender & Equality152nd of 183
- Democracy & Civil Liberties185th of 198
- Risk & Resilience74th of 192
- Food & Agriculture104th of 175
- Poverty & Inequality=104th of 159
- Energy52nd of 193
- Digital & Technology=133rd of 198
- The full Tajikistan profile
Nearby, on peace & security
The key statistics, for every country
10Method
Method, sources and how to cite
What this topic does not measure
Deaths in armed conflict and violent deaths per person are published here as context, because the counts are uneven between years and between sources. Crime in daily life and personal safety are not covered. Humanitarian crises driven by conflict appear in Risk & Resilience.
How the Peace & Security standing is decided, step by step
A standing is a place in a list, not a mark out of anything. This one is part of the Country Index 2026, and it is worked out like this.
- A few key indicators decide it; the rest are context. 4 indicators on this topic are keys and 6 are charted alongside them without a vote. That split is the point: if every statistic voted, importing five more of one kind would quietly change what the topic is about.
- Each key is read at one edition. ⚠ The keys behind this standing do not all describe the same year — they run from 2023 to 2025, because publishers release on their own schedules. Read the standing as “how this country places now”, not as a snapshot of one year.
- Every country’s published value is turned into a place within that one key’s own field, and then expressed as a share of that field — how far down this key’s list the country sits, rather than how many countries are above it. Keys where a higher published number is worse (terrorism, hunger, disaster risk) are turned round first, so the good end is always the same end.
- Dividing by the field first is the whole reason this works. A place carries the size of its list inside it: 22nd of 44 and 108th of 215 are the same showing, and averaging the numbers 22 and 108 says loudly that they are not. Fields on this site run from about 44 countries to about 215, so averaging raw places would reward a country for happening to be measured in small ones. Dividing each place by its own field removes the size and leaves only the showing.
- The shares are averaged, plainly. One key, one vote — no key is weighted above another, because any weighting would be this site’s opinion presented as a measurement. Countries are then put in order by that average, and the average itself is never published. It is our arithmetic with nothing anchoring it, so printing it would invite it to be read as a measurement somebody made. The position it produces, the band, and the keys it was built from are all published instead — every one of them checkable against the tables on this page.
- A country needs 2 of this topic’s 4 keys — half, rounded up, and never fewer than 2. A standing built from one reading, printed beside one built from four, is two different things sharing a column heading. 177 countries clear the bar here.
- A key has to earn its vote every edition. It must measure at least 120 countries (below that it starts measuring who was surveyed rather than the world), it must not have more than 10% of its field tied at either end, and it must not repeat another key in the same topic — Spearman correlation above 0.92 counts as repeating. A topic needs at least 2 surviving keys to place anyone at all; this one has 4.
- A standing is relative, and the grouping is ours. It says where a country places against the others measured alongside it, so it moves when they move. The publishers listed on this page did not agree to be read together, and each measures its subject its own way: the underlying numbers are theirs, the ordering on top is this site’s — the same method as the rest of the Country Index, applied to one subject instead of all of them.
The key statistics and their licences
- Political Stability and Absence of Violence — World Bank Group, CC BY 4.0
- Physical Violence Index — V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Political Violence by Non-State Actors — V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Global Militarisation Index — Bonn International Centre for Conflict Studies (BICC), CC BY
The other 6 statistics on this page come from 5 publishers, each named beside its numbers, with every edition and licence on the datasets pages.
The standing itself is part of the Country Index 2026, published under CC BY-SA 4.0.
Photographs
Tajikistan’s banner and the countries placed highest, from their profiles: Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale, each used under the licence named.
- Tajikistan (banner) — Hylgeriak, CC BY-SA 3.0
- Iceland — Hansueli Krapf, CC BY-SA 3.0
- Costa Rica — Henry Zbyszynski from Capitola California, USA, CC BY 2.0
- Malta — Dirk Heldmaier derivative work: Jjtkk, CC BY-SA 3.0
Cite this page
Nations Inquiry (2026). Tajikistan: Peace & Security — standing and statistics, Country Index 2026. https://nationsinquiry.com/countries/tajikistan/security
