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A view of Timor-Leste

Photo: Nhobgood Nick Hobgood · CC BY-SA 3.0 · via Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale

Risk & Resilience

141st

of 192 countries placed

Placed from 3 of 3 key statistics

01The evidence

The 3 key statistics that decide it

Only these place Timor-Leste on risk & resilience — one vote each. Every value is the publisher’s own, read at the edition the Country Index 2026 used; the grey ticks are every other country it was compared with, lowest on the left.

Why these keys
  1. Key 1 of 3

    World Risk Index

    Institute for International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict (IFHV), Ruhr University Bochum

    Why it is a key: Exposure to natural hazards set against the capacity a country has to cope with them.

    2025 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY 4.0

    7.25

    WorldRiskIndex score (0–100, where 100 is the most at risk)

    Lower is better

    Timor-Leste: 7.25. Across the 193 countries in this edition, values run from 0.18 (Monaco) to 46.56 (Philippines); the world median is 4.17.

    World median
    4.17
    Best in South-eastern Asia
    0.67 Singapore
    Land neighbours
    Indonesia 39.8

    Each grey tick is one of 193 countries in the 2025 edition.

  2. Key 2 of 3

    INFORM Risk Index

    European Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee

    Why it is a key: Humanitarian crisis risk, which counts conflict and displacement that the hazard indices leave out. Correlates 0.468 with the World Risk Index.

    2026 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY 4.0 (via the European Commission's reuse policy)

    3.9

    INFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk)

    Lower is better

    Timor-Leste: 3.9. Across the 191 countries in this edition, values run from 0.7 (Singapore) to 8.5 (South Sudan); the world median is 3.7.

    World median
    3.7
    Best in South-eastern Asia
    0.7 Singapore
    Land neighbours
    Indonesia 4.6

    Each grey tick is one of 191 countries in the 2026 edition.

  3. Key 3 of 3

    Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN)

    Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame

    Why it is a key: How exposed and sensitive a country’s food, water, health, ecosystems, housing and infrastructure are to a changing climate, set against its capacity to adapt — the slow-onset climate risk the hazard and crisis indices do not isolate.

    2024 edition · data for 2024 · CC BY 3.0 Unported

    0.545

    ND-GAIN Vulnerability (0–1, where 1 is the most vulnerable)

    Lower is better

    Ranked 162nd of 190 by Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame

    Timor-Leste: 0.545. Across the 190 countries in this edition, values run from 0.263 (Norway) to 0.655 (Mauritania); the world median is 0.45.

    World median
    0.45
    Best in South-eastern Asia
    0.365 Malaysia
    Land neighbours
    Indonesia 0.431

    Each grey tick is one of 190 countries in the 2024 edition.

03In context

Timor-Leste beside its neighbours

A position reads best beside the countries around it. Every position below is a place among all 192 countries on risk & resilience, never a place within the region.

South-eastern Asia
1st192ndNot placed · 32 countries with too few key statisticsNo data

The whole world on risk & resilience

Timor-Leste and the countries it borders

The standing is each country’s place among all 192 placed on the topic; the other columns are the publishers’ own values, read at the edition the standing used.

CountryStandingWorld Risk IndexWorldRiskIndex score (0–100, where 100 is the most at risk)INFORM Risk IndexINFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk)Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN)ND-GAIN Vulnerability (0–1, where 1 is the most vulnerable)
Timor-Leste141st7.253.90.545
Indonesia148th39.84.60.431

“—” means the publisher gives no reading for that country in that edition. A country needs readings on enough keys to be placed.

Placed either side on risk & resilience

The countries immediately above and below Timor-Leste in the topic’s list.

04Context, no vote

Where Timor-Leste is ahead of the world, and behind

7 more statistics filed under risk & resilience, published in full and deliberately given no vote in the standing. Select a row for the publisher, the rank and the links.

Every country

Ahead of the world median3

Statistics on which Timor-Leste does better than the middle country measured.

  • Political Stability and Absence of ViolenceWorld Bank Group · 2025 · world median 0.1710.646▲ Improved since 2015

    Timor-Leste: 0.646 · world median 0.171 · Political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5). World Bank Group, 2025 edition, data for 2025.

    Published values in that edition run from -2.506 to 1.563; higher is better.

    Position 73rd of 211 — derived here by ordering the published values, 1st = best. The publisher ranks no country on this.

    Chart and every countryThe 2025 dataset

  • Renewable Internal Freshwater Resources per CapitaFAO · 2022 · world median 2,5285,999▼ Worsened since 2012

    Timor-Leste: 5,999 · world median 2,528 · Renewable internal freshwater (cubic metres per person). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), 2022 edition, data for 2022.

    Published values in that edition run from 0 to 445,023; higher is better.

    Position 64th of 181 — derived here by ordering the published values, 1st = best. The publisher ranks no country on this.

    Chart and every countryThe 2022 dataset

  • Internal Displacements by DisasterIDMC · 2024 · world median 4,7502,100▼ Worsened since 2014

    Timor-Leste: 2,100 · world median 4,750 · New displacements by disaster (people). Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), 2024 edition, data for 2024.

    Published values in that edition run from 1 to 11,001,000; lower is better.

    Position 97th of 160 — derived here by ordering the published values, 1st = worst. The publisher ranks no country on this.

    Chart and every countryThe 2024 dataset

Behind the world median3

Statistics on which Timor-Leste does worse than the middle country measured.

  • Water StressFAO · 2023 · world median 1028.27No real change since 2013

    Timor-Leste: 28.27 · world median 10 · Freshwater withdrawal as a share of available resources (%). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), 2023 edition, data for 2023.

    Published values in that edition run from 0.03 to 3,851; lower is better.

    Position 55th of 177 — derived here by ordering the published values, 1st = worst. The publisher ranks no country on this.

    Chart and every countryThe 2023 dataset

  • Climate Readiness (ND-GAIN)Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame · 2024 · world median 0.3870.286▼ Worsened since 2014

    Timor-Leste: 0.286 · world median 0.387 · ND-GAIN Readiness (0–1, where 1 is the most ready). Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame, 2024 edition, data for 2024.

    Published values in that edition run from 0.137 to 0.749; higher is better.

    Ranked 155th of 192 by Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame.

    Chart and every countryThe 2024 dataset

  • ND-GAIN Country IndexNotre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame · 2024 · world median 47.4437.04▼ Worsened since 2014

    Timor-Leste: 37.04 · world median 47.44 · ND-GAIN Index (0–100, where 100 is best placed to adapt). Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame, 2024 edition, data for 2024.

    Published values in that edition run from 26.42 to 71.85; higher is better.

    Ranked 159th of 190 by Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame.

    Chart and every countryThe 2024 dataset

No better end1

These describe the shape of a country — more is not better or worse, only different — so they are never ahead or behind.

  • Refugees by Country of OriginUNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency · 2025 · world median 1,27215No real change since 2015

    Timor-Leste: 15 · world median 1,272 · Refugees under UNHCR's mandate from this country, end of year (people). UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency, 2025 edition, data for 2025.

    Published values in that edition run from 0 to 5,224,131.

    Chart and every countryThe 2025 dataset

No current reading for Timor-Leste

Asylum-Seekers by Country of Asylum (last 2015), Global Report on Food Crises, INFORM Severity Index (last 2024) and Refugee Population by Country of Asylum (last 2015). Listed rather than hidden, so the page can be checked against it.

06The top of the list

Who leads on risk & resilience

The three countries placed highest of 192, and the leaders Timor-Leste can most readily be measured against.

All 192 countries
  1. 1

    Liechtenstein

    Western Europe

    1st of 192 · 2 of 3 keys

    Photo: Guido Radig,Inkey · CC BY 3.0, greyscale

  2. 2

    Luxembourg

    Western Europe

    2nd of 192 · 3 of 3 keys

    Photo: Michal Osmenda from Brussels, Belgium · CC BY-SA 2.0, greyscale

  3. 3

    Switzerland

    Western Europe

    3rd of 192 · 3 of 3 keys

    Photo: Simon Koopmann derivative work: Jjtkk · CC BY-SA 2.0 de, greyscale

Placed highest nearby

  1. Highest in Asia

    Singapore8th3/3 keys
  2. This page

    Timor-Leste141st3/3 keys

Positions out of 192 placed on the topic. A country needs readings on enough keys to be placed, and the top of the list is often held on fewer of them.

07Questions

Timor-Leste on risk & resilience: questions answered

Every answer is built from the numbers on this page, so none can say something the page does not.

How does Timor-Leste rank on risk & resilience?

Timor-Leste is placed 141st of 192 countries on Risk & Resilience in the Country Index 2026, from 3 of its 3 key statistics (World Risk Index, INFORM Risk Index and Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN)). The position is this site’s ordering of published statistics, not a rank any publisher printed.

What is the latest World Risk Index figure for Timor-Leste?

7.25 in 2025 (worldRiskIndex score (0–100, where 100 is the most at risk)), according to Institute for International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict (IFHV), Ruhr University Bochum. The world median in the same edition was 4.17.

What is the latest INFORM Risk Index figure for Timor-Leste?

3.9 in 2025 (iNFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk)), according to European Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee. The world median in the same edition was 3.7.

How does Timor-Leste compare with Indonesia on risk & resilience?

Indonesia is placed 148th of 192, and Timor-Leste 141st. World Risk Index: Indonesia 39.8, Timor-Leste 7.25; INFORM Risk Index: Indonesia 4.6, Timor-Leste 3.9; Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN): Indonesia 0.431, Timor-Leste 0.545.

How have Timor-Leste’s risk & resilience figures changed?

World Risk Index fell from 7.89 in 2000 to 7.25 in 2025; INFORM Risk Index fell from 4.3 in 2016 to 3.9 in 2025; Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN) fell from 0.57 in 2000 to 0.545 in 2024.

Which risk & resilience statistics are missing for Timor-Leste?

No current reading is published for Timor-Leste on Asylum-Seekers by Country of Asylum, Global Report on Food Crises, INFORM Severity Index and Refugee Population by Country of Asylum. They are listed rather than hidden, so the evidence on the page can be checked against it.

09Method

Method, sources and how to cite

What this topic does not measure

This topic does not forecast when a disaster will strike, and it does not measure financial or economic risk. Water stress is measured under Environment & Sustainability. Displacement caused by disasters and the severity of crises already under way are published here as context.

About risk & resilience, in full

How the Risk & Resilience standing is decided, step by step

A standing is a place in a list, not a mark out of anything. This one is part of the Country Index 2026, and it is worked out like this.

  1. A few key indicators decide it; the rest are context. 3 indicators on this topic are keys and 11 are charted alongside them without a vote. That split is the point: if every statistic voted, importing five more of one kind would quietly change what the topic is about.
  2. Each key is read at one edition. ⚠ The keys behind this standing do not all describe the same year — they run from 2024 to 2025, because publishers release on their own schedules. Read the standing as “how this country places now”, not as a snapshot of one year.
  3. Every country’s published value is turned into a place within that one key’s own field, and then expressed as a share of that field — how far down this key’s list the country sits, rather than how many countries are above it. Keys where a higher published number is worse (terrorism, hunger, disaster risk) are turned round first, so the good end is always the same end.
  4. Dividing by the field first is the whole reason this works. A place carries the size of its list inside it: 22nd of 44 and 108th of 215 are the same showing, and averaging the numbers 22 and 108 says loudly that they are not. Fields on this site run from about 44 countries to about 215, so averaging raw places would reward a country for happening to be measured in small ones. Dividing each place by its own field removes the size and leaves only the showing.
  5. The shares are averaged, plainly. One key, one vote — no key is weighted above another, because any weighting would be this site’s opinion presented as a measurement. Countries are then put in order by that average, and the average itself is never published. It is our arithmetic with nothing anchoring it, so printing it would invite it to be read as a measurement somebody made. The position it produces, the band, and the keys it was built from are all published instead — every one of them checkable against the tables on this page.
  6. A country needs 2 of this topic’s 3 keys — half, rounded up, and never fewer than 2. A standing built from one reading, printed beside one built from four, is two different things sharing a column heading. 192 countries clear the bar here.
  7. A key has to earn its vote every edition. It must measure at least 120 countries (below that it starts measuring who was surveyed rather than the world), it must not have more than 10% of its field tied at either end, and it must not repeat another key in the same topic — Spearman correlation above 0.92 counts as repeating. A topic needs at least 2 surviving keys to place anyone at all; this one has 3.
  8. A standing is relative, and the grouping is ours. It says where a country places against the others measured alongside it, so it moves when they move. The publishers listed on this page did not agree to be read together, and each measures its subject its own way: the underlying numbers are theirs, the ordering on top is this site’s — the same method as the rest of the Country Index, applied to one subject instead of all of them.

The key statistics and their licences

  • World Risk Index — Institute for International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict (IFHV), Ruhr University Bochum, CC BY 4.0
  • INFORM Risk Index — European Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee, CC BY 4.0 (via the European Commission's reuse policy)
  • Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN) — Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame, CC BY 3.0 Unported

The other 7 statistics on this page come from 5 publishers, each named beside its numbers, with every edition and licence on the datasets pages.

The standing itself is part of the Country Index 2026, published under CC BY-SA 4.0.

Photographs

Timor-Leste’s banner and the countries placed highest, from their profiles: Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale, each used under the licence named.

Cite this page

Nations Inquiry (2026). Timor-Leste: Risk & Resilience — standing and statistics, Country Index 2026. https://nationsinquiry.com/countries/timor-leste/risk

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